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Publication Results for
Economic Views: EM Current Accounts in 2023
November 08, 2022
We present our EM current account forecasts for next year. Wide deficits will continue in Turkey, Hungary, and Philippines. In a group of countries ...
Economic Views: EM External Vulnerability
October 11, 2022
We update our high-frequency tracking of EM trade balances, … and discuss broader BoP developments for selected countries. Some like Brazil c...
Economic Views: India's External Imbalances
July 19, 2022
India’s trade deficit in H1 was the widest since the taper tantrum. Imports of deeply discounted Russian oil have risen sharply, … ...
Economic Views: EM External Risk
May 10, 2022
We track EM trade balances as a proxy for current accounts. Imports increased well past pre-covid levels everywhere, … but strong exports p...
Economic Views: EM Stagflation
April 19, 2022
Core inflation momentum is high in emerging markets, … but output is significantly below trend in many countries, … making demand an...
Economic Views: Colombia’s External Risk
March 22, 2022
Colombia ran the widest current account deficit in EM last year, … and imports remained extraordinarily strong in January-February. High co...
Economic Views: Tight Policies to End Chile’s Overheating
February 01, 2022
Chile’s economy overheated due to expansionary fiscal policy. Both fiscal and monetary policies are turning contractionary, … Budgete...
Economic Views: EM External Imbalances in 2022
January 11, 2022
Trade deficits in several EMs are below pre-pandemic levels, … even though imports more than fully recovered in late 2021. We expect manage...
Economic Views: India’s Growth Outlook Post Covid
November 09, 2021
The covid recession was deep in India, as was the impact of delta. This is not unique to India but initial conditions in early 2020 were, … ...
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